Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daily maximum of 25°C in Moscow on June 7, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating to align precisely with model consensus. This places the outcome slightly above early-June climatological averages of 20–22°C, consistent with recent observational trends showing modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Market-implied odds reflect this tight convergence across ensemble runs, with resolution hinging on official station readings at Vnukovo or Domodedovo. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized cloud cover or measurement timing differences that alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on June 7?
25°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$39,580 交易量
$39,580 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$39,580 交易量
$39,580 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daily maximum of 25°C in Moscow on June 7, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating to align precisely with model consensus. This places the outcome slightly above early-June climatological averages of 20–22°C, consistent with recent observational trends showing modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Market-implied odds reflect this tight convergence across ensemble runs, with resolution hinging on official station readings at Vnukovo or Domodedovo. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized cloud cover or measurement timing differences that alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions