Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市6月16日的最高溫度？
紐約市6月16日的最高溫度？
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$90,673 交易量
$90,673 交易量
2026-06-16
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
華氏88度或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$90,673 交易量
$90,673 交易量
2026-06-16
69°F或以下
$1,288 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,211 交易量
否
72-73°F
$6,288 交易量
否
74-75°F
$13,716 交易量
否
76-77°F
$22,082 交易量
否
78-79°F
$15,484 交易量
是
80-81°F
$14,871 交易量
否
82-83°F
$8,551 交易量
否
84-85°F
$5,244 交易量
否
86-87°F
$572 交易量
否
華氏88度或更高
$366 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$90,673結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$90,673結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions