Recent ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show a strengthening southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover driving Helsinki's July 31 daytime maximum to 26°C. This aligns with late-July climatology and exceeds the roughly 21°C monthly average, reflecting warmer boundary-layer air masses consistent with current observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C incorporates these model runs and real-time data, though modest uncertainties in local steering patterns or rapid cloud development could still shift the official peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基7月31日的最高溫度?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,124 交易量
$43,124 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,124 交易量
$43,124 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show a strengthening southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover driving Helsinki's July 31 daytime maximum to 26°C. This aligns with late-July climatology and exceeds the roughly 21°C monthly average, reflecting warmer boundary-layer air masses consistent with current observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C incorporates these model runs and real-time data, though modest uncertainties in local steering patterns or rapid cloud development could still shift the official peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions