Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth have driven Jeddah's maximum temperature toward 41 °C on July 31, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and model runs indicate daytime peaks under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, consistent with July climatology of 37–40 °C highs that are running 1–2 °C warmer than normal. Real-time surface observations and heat-index calculations further support this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day shift in steering winds or unforecast marine layer could realistically cap the high below 41 °C, an outcome market pricing views as negligible.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達7月31日的最高溫度？
吉達7月31日的最高溫度？
41°C 100.0%
36°C或以下 <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$41,711 交易量
$41,711 交易量
2026-07-31
36°C或以下
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
是
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C
否
45°C
否
46°C或以上
否
41°C 100.0%
36°C或以下 <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$41,711 交易量
$41,711 交易量
2026-07-31
36°C或以下
$2,457 交易量
否
37°C
$1,597 交易量
否
38°C
$4,145 交易量
否
39°C
$6,258 交易量
否
40°C
$3,801 交易量
否
41°C
$6,638 交易量
是
42°C
$6,667 交易量
否
43°C
$4,779 交易量
否
44°C
$3,459 交易量
否
45°C
$1,609 交易量
否
46°C或以上
$301 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth have driven Jeddah's maximum temperature toward 41 °C on July 31, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and model runs indicate daytime peaks under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, consistent with July climatology of 37–40 °C highs that are running 1–2 °C warmer than normal. Real-time surface observations and heat-index calculations further support this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day shift in steering winds or unforecast marine layer could realistically cap the high below 41 °C, an outcome market pricing views as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$41,711結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth have driven Jeddah's maximum temperature toward 41 °C on July 31, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and model runs indicate daytime peaks under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, consistent with July climatology of 37–40 °C highs that are running 1–2 °C warmer than normal. Real-time surface observations and heat-index calculations further support this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day shift in steering winds or unforecast marine layer could realistically cap the high below 41 °C, an outcome market pricing views as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,711結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth have driven Jeddah's maximum temperature toward 41 °C on July 31, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and model runs indicate daytime peaks under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, consistent with July climatology of 37–40 °C highs that are running 1–2 °C warmer than normal. Real-time surface observations and heat-index calculations further support this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day shift in steering winds or unforecast marine layer could realistically cap the high below 41 °C, an outcome market pricing views as negligible.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions