Numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently converge on a daytime maximum of 24°C for Seoul on June 8, supported by light westerly flow, limited atmospheric moisture, and minimal cloud cover that together cap further warming. This strong model agreement and low ensemble spread underpin the market’s near-certain implied probability for the 24°C outcome. Realistic scenarios that could shift the final recorded high include unexpected increases in afternoon cloudiness, a shift in steering winds, or localized convective development, though current guidance shows limited potential for such changes before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月8日首爾最高溫度?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$236,535 交易量
$236,535 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$236,535 交易量
$236,535 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 6, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently converge on a daytime maximum of 24°C for Seoul on June 8, supported by light westerly flow, limited atmospheric moisture, and minimal cloud cover that together cap further warming. This strong model agreement and low ensemble spread underpin the market’s near-certain implied probability for the 24°C outcome. Realistic scenarios that could shift the final recorded high include unexpected increases in afternoon cloudiness, a shift in steering winds, or localized convective development, though current guidance shows limited potential for such changes before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions