Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon highs in Tel Aviv on September 7 near 31–32°C under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with peak values hinging on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat effects, and minor humidity variations that could nudge readings across the 32–33°C threshold. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, providing context for the tight market-implied odds between these two outcomes. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or increased cloud cover, appear likely in the next 48 hours, though updated model runs this weekend could alter the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 51%
33°C 49%
31°C <1%
29°C或以下 <1%
最新
$10,056 交易量
最新
$10,056 交易量
2026-09-07
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
51%
33°C
49%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 49%
31°C <1%
29°C或以下 <1%
最新
$10,056 交易量
最新
$10,056 交易量
2026-09-07
29°C或以下
$1,301 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,059 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,279 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,356 交易量
51%
33°C
$2,387 交易量
49%
34°C
$331 交易量
<1%
35°C
$225 交易量
<1%
36°C
$270 交易量
<1%
37°C
$286 交易量
<1%
38°C
$286 交易量
<1%
39°C或更高
$276 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon highs in Tel Aviv on September 7 near 31–32°C under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with peak values hinging on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat effects, and minor humidity variations that could nudge readings across the 32–33°C threshold. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, providing context for the tight market-implied odds between these two outcomes. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or increased cloud cover, appear likely in the next 48 hours, though updated model runs this weekend could alter the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,056結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon highs in Tel Aviv on September 7 near 31–32°C under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with peak values hinging on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat effects, and minor humidity variations that could nudge readings across the 32–33°C threshold. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, providing context for the tight market-implied odds between these two outcomes. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or increased cloud cover, appear likely in the next 48 hours, though updated model runs this weekend could alter the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,056結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon highs in Tel Aviv on September 7 near 31–32°C under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with peak values hinging on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat effects, and minor humidity variations that could nudge readings across the 32–33°C threshold. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, providing context for the tight market-implied odds between these two outcomes. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or increased cloud cover, appear likely in the next 48 hours, though updated model runs this weekend could alter the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions