Forecast models and agency outlooks from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles project a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5 under stable late-summer conditions, with light westerly winds, low humidity around 55-65%, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling or heating extremes. This consensus aligns with typical early-September Mediterranean climatology, where highs commonly reach 30-32°C absent anomalous pressure patterns or Saharan intrusions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C because recent model runs show tight clustering around that threshold, with limited divergence that could push outcomes to 31°C or 33°C. Traders monitor the final forecast updates before resolution for any last adjustments in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月5日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 11%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 11%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
29°C或以下
$205 交易量
1%
30°C
$70 交易量
4%
31°C
$992 交易量
18%
32°C
$971 交易量
70%
33°C
$208 交易量
11%
34°C
$107 交易量
2%
35°C
$96 交易量
1%
36°C
$180 交易量
1%
37°C
$38 交易量
<1%
38°C
$358 交易量
<1%
39°C或更高
$391 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and agency outlooks from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles project a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5 under stable late-summer conditions, with light westerly winds, low humidity around 55-65%, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling or heating extremes. This consensus aligns with typical early-September Mediterranean climatology, where highs commonly reach 30-32°C absent anomalous pressure patterns or Saharan intrusions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C because recent model runs show tight clustering around that threshold, with limited divergence that could push outcomes to 31°C or 33°C. Traders monitor the final forecast updates before resolution for any last adjustments in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,613結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and agency outlooks from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles project a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5 under stable late-summer conditions, with light westerly winds, low humidity around 55-65%, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling or heating extremes. This consensus aligns with typical early-September Mediterranean climatology, where highs commonly reach 30-32°C absent anomalous pressure patterns or Saharan intrusions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C because recent model runs show tight clustering around that threshold, with limited divergence that could push outcomes to 31°C or 33°C. Traders monitor the final forecast updates before resolution for any last adjustments in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,613結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models and agency outlooks from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles project a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5 under stable late-summer conditions, with light westerly winds, low humidity around 55-65%, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling or heating extremes. This consensus aligns with typical early-September Mediterranean climatology, where highs commonly reach 30-32°C absent anomalous pressure patterns or Saharan intrusions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C because recent model runs show tight clustering around that threshold, with limited divergence that could push outcomes to 31°C or 33°C. Traders monitor the final forecast updates before resolution for any last adjustments in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions