The market-implied odds reflect real-time meteorological observations and forecast consensus confirming a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4. Israeli Meteorological Service data and regional models, including hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, align precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm sea-surface temperatures sustaining heat and minimal cloud cover—support the outcome, consistent with climatological norms for early September highs around 30–32°C. With the day concluding, only post hoc measurement adjustments or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though official verification makes such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月4日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,344 交易量
$20,344 交易量
2026-09-04
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或以上
否
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,344 交易量
$20,344 交易量
2026-09-04
28°C或以下
$712 交易量
否
29°C
$637 交易量
否
30°C
$866 交易量
否
31°C
$3,932 交易量
否
32°C
$7,107 交易量
是
33°C
$4,001 交易量
否
34°C
$1,112 交易量
否
35°C
$591 交易量
否
36°C
$573 交易量
否
37°C
$487 交易量
否
38°C或以上
$327 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect real-time meteorological observations and forecast consensus confirming a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4. Israeli Meteorological Service data and regional models, including hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, align precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm sea-surface temperatures sustaining heat and minimal cloud cover—support the outcome, consistent with climatological norms for early September highs around 30–32°C. With the day concluding, only post hoc measurement adjustments or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though official verification makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$20,344結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect real-time meteorological observations and forecast consensus confirming a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4. Israeli Meteorological Service data and regional models, including hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, align precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm sea-surface temperatures sustaining heat and minimal cloud cover—support the outcome, consistent with climatological norms for early September highs around 30–32°C. With the day concluding, only post hoc measurement adjustments or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though official verification makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,344結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market-implied odds reflect real-time meteorological observations and forecast consensus confirming a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4. Israeli Meteorological Service data and regional models, including hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, align precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm sea-surface temperatures sustaining heat and minimal cloud cover—support the outcome, consistent with climatological norms for early September highs around 30–32°C. With the day concluding, only post hoc measurement adjustments or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though official verification makes such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions