Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 6 because official meteorological observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional stations recorded that peak during afternoon hours under clear skies and light westerly winds. Multiple model runs and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, well above the climatological average high near 30°C for early September, eliminating meaningful uncertainty by evening. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though standard protocols make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$37,690 交易量
$37,690 交易量
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$37,690 交易量
$37,690 交易量
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
$245 交易量
否
29°C
$382 交易量
否
30°C
$2,190 交易量
否
31°C
$13,132 交易量
否
32°C
$13,111 交易量
是
33°C
$4,345 交易量
否
34°C
$1,830 交易量
否
35°C
$698 交易量
否
36°C
$529 交易量
否
37°C
$1,095 交易量
否
38°C或更高
$135 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 6 because official meteorological observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional stations recorded that peak during afternoon hours under clear skies and light westerly winds. Multiple model runs and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, well above the climatological average high near 30°C for early September, eliminating meaningful uncertainty by evening. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though standard protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$37,690結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 6 because official meteorological observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional stations recorded that peak during afternoon hours under clear skies and light westerly winds. Multiple model runs and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, well above the climatological average high near 30°C for early September, eliminating meaningful uncertainty by evening. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though standard protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,690結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 6 because official meteorological observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional stations recorded that peak during afternoon hours under clear skies and light westerly winds. Multiple model runs and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, well above the climatological average high near 30°C for early September, eliminating meaningful uncertainty by evening. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though standard protocols make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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