Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 26, 2026, reached 14°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from Canadian meteorological models predicting mild daytime highs near 12–15°C under partly sunny skies, persistent light winds, and seasonal influences from a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern limiting significant warming. Historical April averages at Pearson hover around 11–12°C, making 14°C a plausible peak without anomalous heat. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare data revisions from quality control audits, but current records show no such discrepancies. Traders await final market resolution based on these authoritative measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 26?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$117,314 交易量
$117,314 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$117,314 交易量
$117,314 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 26, 2026, reached 14°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from Canadian meteorological models predicting mild daytime highs near 12–15°C under partly sunny skies, persistent light winds, and seasonal influences from a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern limiting significant warming. Historical April averages at Pearson hover around 11–12°C, making 14°C a plausible peak without anomalous heat. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare data revisions from quality control audits, but current records show no such discrepancies. Traders await final market resolution based on these authoritative measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions