National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 17%
68-69°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
1%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 17%
68-69°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
61°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$135 交易量
7%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$61 交易量
12%
70-71°F
$1 交易量
40%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
34%
74-75°F
$13 交易量
17%
76-77°F
$182 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$116 交易量
1%
華氏80度或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$519結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$519結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions