Current National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to a mild overnight period on August 18–19 driven by southerly flow, elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions typically keep minimum temperatures from dropping far below recent daytime highs near 82–86 °F. August climatology places the long-term average low around 67 °F, yet the ongoing warmer-than-normal pattern favored by the Climate Prediction Center has shifted the distribution upward, concentrating trader-implied odds on 72–73 °F (46.5 %). Shorter-range forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices remain the key near-term catalyst, with any revisions to cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the outcome one bin higher or lower before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月19日紐約市的最低溫度？
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 19%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 19%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
61°F或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$25 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$15 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$60 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$109 交易量
10%
70-71°F
$129 交易量
14%
72-73°F
$49 交易量
47%
74-75°F
$63 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$104 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$20 交易量
1%
華氏80度或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to a mild overnight period on August 18–19 driven by southerly flow, elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions typically keep minimum temperatures from dropping far below recent daytime highs near 82–86 °F. August climatology places the long-term average low around 67 °F, yet the ongoing warmer-than-normal pattern favored by the Climate Prediction Center has shifted the distribution upward, concentrating trader-implied odds on 72–73 °F (46.5 %). Shorter-range forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices remain the key near-term catalyst, with any revisions to cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the outcome one bin higher or lower before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$609結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to a mild overnight period on August 18–19 driven by southerly flow, elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions typically keep minimum temperatures from dropping far below recent daytime highs near 82–86 °F. August climatology places the long-term average low around 67 °F, yet the ongoing warmer-than-normal pattern favored by the Climate Prediction Center has shifted the distribution upward, concentrating trader-implied odds on 72–73 °F (46.5 %). Shorter-range forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices remain the key near-term catalyst, with any revisions to cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the outcome one bin higher or lower before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$609結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to a mild overnight period on August 18–19 driven by southerly flow, elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions typically keep minimum temperatures from dropping far below recent daytime highs near 82–86 °F. August climatology places the long-term average low around 67 °F, yet the ongoing warmer-than-normal pattern favored by the Climate Prediction Center has shifted the distribution upward, concentrating trader-implied odds on 72–73 °F (46.5 %). Shorter-range forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices remain the key near-term catalyst, with any revisions to cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the outcome one bin higher or lower before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions