Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicates a daytime maximum near 17°C for Buenos Aires on August 20 under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 8°C, though persistent cloudiness and strengthening southerly winds later in the day could cap readings at 16–18°C. Trader consensus clusters on 18–19°C outcomes because historical August maxima average 15–17°C and recent model runs show limited deviation risk from these baselines, with only modest El Niño-related warming elevating the upper tail. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 18°C versus 19°C probabilities include exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and frontal passage speed, which official updates will refine before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月20日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
19°C 37%
18°C 34%
20°C 13%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
34%
19°C
37%
20°C
13%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
18°C 34%
20°C 13%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
13°C or below
$15 交易量
1%
14°C
$299 交易量
<1%
15°C
$194 交易量
1%
16°C
$242 交易量
4%
17°C
$163 交易量
12%
18°C
$342 交易量
34%
19°C
$261 交易量
37%
20°C
$125 交易量
13%
21°C
$224 交易量
2%
22°C
$10 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$7 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicates a daytime maximum near 17°C for Buenos Aires on August 20 under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 8°C, though persistent cloudiness and strengthening southerly winds later in the day could cap readings at 16–18°C. Trader consensus clusters on 18–19°C outcomes because historical August maxima average 15–17°C and recent model runs show limited deviation risk from these baselines, with only modest El Niño-related warming elevating the upper tail. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 18°C versus 19°C probabilities include exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and frontal passage speed, which official updates will refine before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$1,877結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicates a daytime maximum near 17°C for Buenos Aires on August 20 under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 8°C, though persistent cloudiness and strengthening southerly winds later in the day could cap readings at 16–18°C. Trader consensus clusters on 18–19°C outcomes because historical August maxima average 15–17°C and recent model runs show limited deviation risk from these baselines, with only modest El Niño-related warming elevating the upper tail. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 18°C versus 19°C probabilities include exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and frontal passage speed, which official updates will refine before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,877結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETShort-range ensemble guidance from regional models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicates a daytime maximum near 17°C for Buenos Aires on August 20 under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 8°C, though persistent cloudiness and strengthening southerly winds later in the day could cap readings at 16–18°C. Trader consensus clusters on 18–19°C outcomes because historical August maxima average 15–17°C and recent model runs show limited deviation risk from these baselines, with only modest El Niño-related warming elevating the upper tail. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 18°C versus 19°C probabilities include exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and frontal passage speed, which official updates will refine before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions