Trader consensus favors a high of 13°C at 30.5% implied probability for Toronto on March 26, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast models projecting peaks in the 12-14°C range under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions. This edges out 12°C (22.4%) and 14°C (14.4%) due to ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS outputs, where slight phasing differences in upper-level troughs could shave or add 1-2°C via cloud cover variations. March climatology averages 6-8°C highs, but an amplified jet stream pattern has elevated recent anomalies; urban heat island effects and afternoon insolation further differentiate outcomes, with official observations resolving via Pearson Airport data amid low precipitation risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月26日多倫多氣溫最高?
3月26日多倫多氣溫最高?
13°C 31%
12°C 22.4%
14°C 14.4%
11°C 12%
$15,703 交易量
$15,703 交易量
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
12%
12°C
22%
13°C
31%
14°C
14%
15°C
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
1%
13°C 31%
12°C 22.4%
14°C 14.4%
11°C 12%
$15,703 交易量
$15,703 交易量
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
12%
12°C
22%
13°C
31%
14°C
14%
15°C
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 13°C at 30.5% implied probability for Toronto on March 26, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast models projecting peaks in the 12-14°C range under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions. This edges out 12°C (22.4%) and 14°C (14.4%) due to ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS outputs, where slight phasing differences in upper-level troughs could shave or add 1-2°C via cloud cover variations. March climatology averages 6-8°C highs, but an amplified jet stream pattern has elevated recent anomalies; urban heat island effects and afternoon insolation further differentiate outcomes, with official observations resolving via Pearson Airport data amid low precipitation risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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