Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 交易量
$78,289 交易量
2026-04-19
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 交易量
$78,289 交易量
2026-04-19
25°C or below
$1,796 交易量
No
26°C
$2,607 交易量
No
27°C
$6,871 交易量
No
28°C
$6,032 交易量
No
29°C
$4,637 交易量
No
30°C
$14,022 交易量
Yes
31°C
$6,372 交易量
No
32°C
$17,278 交易量
No
33°C
$12,644 交易量
No
34°C
$3,597 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$2,432 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$78,289結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,289結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions