Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 交易量
$85,697 交易量
2026-04-29
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 交易量
$85,697 交易量
2026-04-29
16°C or below
$2,719 交易量
No
17°C
$5,643 交易量
No
18°C
$8,563 交易量
No
19°C
$7,247 交易量
No
20°C
$10,303 交易量
Yes
21°C
$8,630 交易量
No
22°C
$15,472 交易量
No
23°C
$10,009 交易量
No
24°C
$6,898 交易量
No
25°C
$3,026 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$7,186 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$85,697結束日期
2026-04-29市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,697結束日期
2026-04-29市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions