Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 9th congressional district seat, defeating a crowded field that included several high-profile challengers. As Evanston mayor and former state senator with deep local ties, Biss benefits from the district's strong Democratic lean—rated solid or safe by major forecasters—and its history of electing only Democrats since 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary, faces structural barriers in fundraising and voter base in this North Shore and northwest Chicago area. Upcoming events such as the September 24 candidate forum offer limited opportunities to shift dynamics before the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while acknowledging that unexpected developments like major scandals or national political shifts could still alter outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,625 交易量
$31,625 交易量
2026-11-02
丹尼爾·比斯（民主黨）
95%
約翰·艾利森（共和黨）
5%
$31,625 交易量
$31,625 交易量
2026-11-02
丹尼爾·比斯（民主黨）
$17,371 交易量
95%
約翰·艾利森（共和黨）
$14,254 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 9th congressional district seat, defeating a crowded field that included several high-profile challengers. As Evanston mayor and former state senator with deep local ties, Biss benefits from the district's strong Democratic lean—rated solid or safe by major forecasters—and its history of electing only Democrats since 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary, faces structural barriers in fundraising and voter base in this North Shore and northwest Chicago area. Upcoming events such as the September 24 candidate forum offer limited opportunities to shift dynamics before the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while acknowledging that unexpected developments like major scandals or national political shifts could still alter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$31,625結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 9th congressional district seat, defeating a crowded field that included several high-profile challengers. As Evanston mayor and former state senator with deep local ties, Biss benefits from the district's strong Democratic lean—rated solid or safe by major forecasters—and its history of electing only Democrats since 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary, faces structural barriers in fundraising and voter base in this North Shore and northwest Chicago area. Upcoming events such as the September 24 candidate forum offer limited opportunities to shift dynamics before the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while acknowledging that unexpected developments like major scandals or national political shifts could still alter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,625結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDaniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 9th congressional district seat, defeating a crowded field that included several high-profile challengers. As Evanston mayor and former state senator with deep local ties, Biss benefits from the district's strong Democratic lean—rated solid or safe by major forecasters—and its history of electing only Democrats since 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary, faces structural barriers in fundraising and voter base in this North Shore and northwest Chicago area. Upcoming events such as the September 24 candidate forum offer limited opportunities to shift dynamics before the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while acknowledging that unexpected developments like major scandals or national political shifts could still alter outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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