Juliana Stratton's commanding position stems from Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide races, her March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and substantial funding, and the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where the GOP has not won a Senate contest in decades, with race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this baseline advantage and limited recent catalysts for change. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, late-breaking controversies affecting turnout, or unusually strong Republican performance in downstate regions, though such shifts remain improbable given current indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,812 交易量
$31,812 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
97%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
4%
$31,812 交易量
$31,812 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
$16,810 交易量
97%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
$15,003 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding position stems from Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide races, her March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and substantial funding, and the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where the GOP has not won a Senate contest in decades, with race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this baseline advantage and limited recent catalysts for change. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, late-breaking controversies affecting turnout, or unusually strong Republican performance in downstate regions, though such shifts remain improbable given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$31,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding position stems from Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide races, her March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and substantial funding, and the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where the GOP has not won a Senate contest in decades, with race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this baseline advantage and limited recent catalysts for change. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, late-breaking controversies affecting turnout, or unusually strong Republican performance in downstate regions, though such shifts remain improbable given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$31,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETJuliana Stratton's commanding position stems from Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide races, her March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and substantial funding, and the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where the GOP has not won a Senate contest in decades, with race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this baseline advantage and limited recent catalysts for change. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, late-breaking controversies affecting turnout, or unusually strong Republican performance in downstate regions, though such shifts remain improbable given current indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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