Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in Illinois’s open U.S. Senate race after the March 2026 primary, defeating rivals with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party organizations in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. The seat, previously held by retiring Senator Dick Durbin, sits in a state where the Democratic presidential nominee carried a double-digit margin in 2024 and Republicans have not won a Senate election since 2010. Don Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged as the Republican nominee but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Stratton near 96 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,812 交易量
$31,812 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
96%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
4%
$31,812 交易量
$31,812 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
$16,810 交易量
96%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
$15,003 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in Illinois’s open U.S. Senate race after the March 2026 primary, defeating rivals with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party organizations in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. The seat, previously held by retiring Senator Dick Durbin, sits in a state where the Democratic presidential nominee carried a double-digit margin in 2024 and Republicans have not won a Senate election since 2010. Don Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged as the Republican nominee but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Stratton near 96 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$31,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in Illinois’s open U.S. Senate race after the March 2026 primary, defeating rivals with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party organizations in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. The seat, previously held by retiring Senator Dick Durbin, sits in a state where the Democratic presidential nominee carried a double-digit margin in 2024 and Republicans have not won a Senate election since 2010. Don Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged as the Republican nominee but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Stratton near 96 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$31,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in Illinois’s open U.S. Senate race after the March 2026 primary, defeating rivals with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party organizations in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. The seat, previously held by retiring Senator Dick Durbin, sits in a state where the Democratic presidential nominee carried a double-digit margin in 2024 and Republicans have not won a Senate election since 2010. Don Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged as the Republican nominee but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Stratton near 96 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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