**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 7 will reach or fall below 20°C, consistent with clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure.** This aligns with the market's near-certain consensus for the 20°C-or-below outcome. Early September climatology shows average lows near 17°C, and recent model runs from agencies tracking the Iberian Peninsula have converged on a minimum in the 19–22°C range, with several projections dipping to 20°C or lower by dawn. The dominant positioning reflects real-time observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or measurement revision from the official station exceeding the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月7日馬德裏最低氣溫？
20°C或以下 100%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$1,153 交易量
$1,153 交易量
2026-09-07
20°C或以下
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
20°C或以下 100%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$1,153 交易量
$1,153 交易量
2026-09-07
20°C或以下
$265 交易量
是
21°C
$297 交易量
否
22°C
$186 交易量
否
23°C
$85 交易量
否
24°C
$105 交易量
否
25°C
$20 交易量
否
26°C
$20 交易量
否
27°C
$20 交易量
否
28°C
$35 交易量
否
29°C
$60 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$60 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 7 will reach or fall below 20°C, consistent with clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure.** This aligns with the market's near-certain consensus for the 20°C-or-below outcome. Early September climatology shows average lows near 17°C, and recent model runs from agencies tracking the Iberian Peninsula have converged on a minimum in the 19–22°C range, with several projections dipping to 20°C or lower by dawn. The dominant positioning reflects real-time observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or measurement revision from the official station exceeding the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,153結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 7 will reach or fall below 20°C, consistent with clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure.** This aligns with the market's near-certain consensus for the 20°C-or-below outcome. Early September climatology shows average lows near 17°C, and recent model runs from agencies tracking the Iberian Peninsula have converged on a minimum in the 19–22°C range, with several projections dipping to 20°C or lower by dawn. The dominant positioning reflects real-time observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or measurement revision from the official station exceeding the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,153結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 7 will reach or fall below 20°C, consistent with clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure.** This aligns with the market's near-certain consensus for the 20°C-or-below outcome. Early September climatology shows average lows near 17°C, and recent model runs from agencies tracking the Iberian Peninsula have converged on a minimum in the 19–22°C range, with several projections dipping to 20°C or lower by dawn. The dominant positioning reflects real-time observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or measurement revision from the official station exceeding the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions