Stable high-pressure systems and clear nocturnal radiative cooling under dry August conditions over the Po Valley have driven Milan's overnight minimum to 15°C, aligning with real-time station observations and locking in the market-implied consensus at 100%. Official meteorological data confirm this threshold through standard thermometer measurements at representative urban sites, consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer lows near 17–19°C but shifted lower by localized clear-sky effects. Model runs from ECMWF and GFS had previously pointed higher, yet updated surface analyses now support the outcome. Only an unseasonal warm-air advection or measurement revision from the primary reporting station could realistically alter resolution before the daily minimum is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月23日米蘭的最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$5,047 交易量
$5,047 交易量
2026-08-23
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$5,047 交易量
$5,047 交易量
2026-08-23
13°C or below
$342 交易量
No
14°C
$280 交易量
No
15°C
$192 交易量
Yes
16°C
$357 交易量
No
17°C
$529 交易量
No
18°C
$242 交易量
No
19°C
$628 交易量
No
20°C
$1,606 交易量
No
21°C
$210 交易量
No
22°C
$423 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$239 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and clear nocturnal radiative cooling under dry August conditions over the Po Valley have driven Milan's overnight minimum to 15°C, aligning with real-time station observations and locking in the market-implied consensus at 100%. Official meteorological data confirm this threshold through standard thermometer measurements at representative urban sites, consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer lows near 17–19°C but shifted lower by localized clear-sky effects. Model runs from ECMWF and GFS had previously pointed higher, yet updated surface analyses now support the outcome. Only an unseasonal warm-air advection or measurement revision from the primary reporting station could realistically alter resolution before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,047結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and clear nocturnal radiative cooling under dry August conditions over the Po Valley have driven Milan's overnight minimum to 15°C, aligning with real-time station observations and locking in the market-implied consensus at 100%. Official meteorological data confirm this threshold through standard thermometer measurements at representative urban sites, consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer lows near 17–19°C but shifted lower by localized clear-sky effects. Model runs from ECMWF and GFS had previously pointed higher, yet updated surface analyses now support the outcome. Only an unseasonal warm-air advection or measurement revision from the primary reporting station could realistically alter resolution before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,047結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Stable high-pressure systems and clear nocturnal radiative cooling under dry August conditions over the Po Valley have driven Milan's overnight minimum to 15°C, aligning with real-time station observations and locking in the market-implied consensus at 100%. Official meteorological data confirm this threshold through standard thermometer measurements at representative urban sites, consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer lows near 17–19°C but shifted lower by localized clear-sky effects. Model runs from ECMWF and GFS had previously pointed higher, yet updated surface analyses now support the outcome. Only an unseasonal warm-air advection or measurement revision from the primary reporting station could realistically alter resolution before the daily minimum is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions