Official National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s on August 22, with models showing a warm, humid air mass and possible showers limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup supports the market's concentration on 66–71°F outcomes, as Central Park climatology averages near 67°F but recent guidance has trended slightly above normal amid weak southerly flow and elevated dew points. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model solutions and the short time to resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger onshore breeze capable of nudging the minimum lower within the 66–69°F bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日紐約市的最低溫度?
70-71°F 43%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 11%
華氏59度或以下
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
華氏78度或以上
1%
70-71°F 43%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 11%
華氏59度或以下
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
華氏78度或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s on August 22, with models showing a warm, humid air mass and possible showers limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup supports the market's concentration on 66–71°F outcomes, as Central Park climatology averages near 67°F but recent guidance has trended slightly above normal amid weak southerly flow and elevated dew points. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model solutions and the short time to resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger onshore breeze capable of nudging the minimum lower within the 66–69°F bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions