Traders have fully converged on 64–65°F as the lowest temperature recorded at New York’s LaGuardia Airport station on August 21, 2026, consistent with official National Weather Service observations. This outcome reflects slightly below-average conditions for the date, driven by northeasterly flow and clear skies that promoted efficient radiational cooling overnight, dropping readings below the typical 67–69°F climatological baseline. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters indicated mid-to-upper 60s, with the final measurement settling at the lower end of expectations. Only an unforeseen increase in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer maritime air could have produced a meaningfully different low, neither of which occurred.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月21日紐約市的最低溫度？
64-65°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$17,416 交易量
$17,416 交易量
2026-08-21
華氏57度或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
是
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
64-65°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$17,416 交易量
$17,416 交易量
2026-08-21
華氏57度或以下
$1,238 交易量
否
58-59°F
$1,032 交易量
否
60-61°F
$1,165 交易量
否
62-63°F
$1,374 交易量
否
64-65°F
$1,922 交易量
是
66-67°F
$3,979 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,765 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,164 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,346 交易量
否
74-75°F
$263 交易量
否
76°F或更高
$168 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have fully converged on 64–65°F as the lowest temperature recorded at New York’s LaGuardia Airport station on August 21, 2026, consistent with official National Weather Service observations. This outcome reflects slightly below-average conditions for the date, driven by northeasterly flow and clear skies that promoted efficient radiational cooling overnight, dropping readings below the typical 67–69°F climatological baseline. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters indicated mid-to-upper 60s, with the final measurement settling at the lower end of expectations. Only an unforeseen increase in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer maritime air could have produced a meaningfully different low, neither of which occurred.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$17,416結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have fully converged on 64–65°F as the lowest temperature recorded at New York’s LaGuardia Airport station on August 21, 2026, consistent with official National Weather Service observations. This outcome reflects slightly below-average conditions for the date, driven by northeasterly flow and clear skies that promoted efficient radiational cooling overnight, dropping readings below the typical 67–69°F climatological baseline. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters indicated mid-to-upper 60s, with the final measurement settling at the lower end of expectations. Only an unforeseen increase in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer maritime air could have produced a meaningfully different low, neither of which occurred.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,416結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have fully converged on 64–65°F as the lowest temperature recorded at New York’s LaGuardia Airport station on August 21, 2026, consistent with official National Weather Service observations. This outcome reflects slightly below-average conditions for the date, driven by northeasterly flow and clear skies that promoted efficient radiational cooling overnight, dropping readings below the typical 67–69°F climatological baseline. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters indicated mid-to-upper 60s, with the final measurement settling at the lower end of expectations. Only an unforeseen increase in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer maritime air could have produced a meaningfully different low, neither of which occurred.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions