Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日巴黎最低溫度？
9月8日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 100%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,817 交易量
$11,817 交易量
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
16°C 100%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,817 交易量
$11,817 交易量
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
$997 交易量
否
12°C
$241 交易量
否
13°C
$157 交易量
否
14°C
$221 交易量
否
15°C
$625 交易量
否
16°C
$1,092 交易量
是
17°C
$2,200 交易量
否
18°C
$1,115 交易量
否
19°C
$1,134 交易量
否
20°C
$2,263 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$1,773 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,817結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,817結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions