Traders assign near-certainty to a 27°C minimum in Wuhan on August 25 because official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 25–28°C under clear, humid subtropical conditions typical of late August. Current observations early on the 25th already show temperatures near or above this threshold, with daytime peaks expected near 35–37°C and no incoming cold air or significant cloud cover to drive further cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than a guarantee. A sudden shift in steering winds, an unforecasted rain event, or station-specific microclimate variations could still produce a different recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日武漢最低氣溫？
8月25日武漢最低氣溫？
27°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$14,563 交易量
$14,563 交易量
2026-08-25
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$14,563 交易量
$14,563 交易量
2026-08-25
23°C or below
$162 交易量
No
24°C
$306 交易量
No
25°C
$803 交易量
No
26°C
$160 交易量
No
27°C
$474 交易量
Yes
28°C
$316 交易量
No
29°C
$10,841 交易量
No
30°C
$290 交易量
No
31°C
$140 交易量
No
32°C
$584 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$488 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 27°C minimum in Wuhan on August 25 because official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 25–28°C under clear, humid subtropical conditions typical of late August. Current observations early on the 25th already show temperatures near or above this threshold, with daytime peaks expected near 35–37°C and no incoming cold air or significant cloud cover to drive further cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than a guarantee. A sudden shift in steering winds, an unforecasted rain event, or station-specific microclimate variations could still produce a different recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,563結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 27°C minimum in Wuhan on August 25 because official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 25–28°C under clear, humid subtropical conditions typical of late August. Current observations early on the 25th already show temperatures near or above this threshold, with daytime peaks expected near 35–37°C and no incoming cold air or significant cloud cover to drive further cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than a guarantee. A sudden shift in steering winds, an unforecasted rain event, or station-specific microclimate variations could still produce a different recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,563結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 27°C minimum in Wuhan on August 25 because official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 25–28°C under clear, humid subtropical conditions typical of late August. Current observations early on the 25th already show temperatures near or above this threshold, with daytime peaks expected near 35–37°C and no incoming cold air or significant cloud cover to drive further cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than a guarantee. A sudden shift in steering winds, an unforecasted rain event, or station-specific microclimate variations could still produce a different recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions