Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise executive authority without interruption, as evidenced by his recent departure from Tehran for the UN General Assembly and ongoing public statements on foreign policy and bilateral ties. Iran's institutional framework, including oversight by the Supreme Leader, provides substantial protection against abrupt detention of a sitting president, and no verified reports or official actions point to imminent legal proceedings. Trader consensus at 99.4% for "No" reflects this continuity and the absence of triggering events such as a major internal power shift or confirmed charges. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome before September 28 include an unanticipated directive from senior clerical or security bodies, a sudden escalation in factional disputes, or the emergence of previously undisclosed legal findings tied to recent conflicts or protests.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
<1% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-28
是
<1% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-28
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise executive authority without interruption, as evidenced by his recent departure from Tehran for the UN General Assembly and ongoing public statements on foreign policy and bilateral ties. Iran's institutional framework, including oversight by the Supreme Leader, provides substantial protection against abrupt detention of a sitting president, and no verified reports or official actions point to imminent legal proceedings. Trader consensus at 99.4% for "No" reflects this continuity and the absence of triggering events such as a major internal power shift or confirmed charges. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome before September 28 include an unanticipated directive from senior clerical or security bodies, a sudden escalation in factional disputes, or the emergence of previously undisclosed legal findings tied to recent conflicts or protests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,230結束日期
2026-09-29市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 5:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise executive authority without interruption, as evidenced by his recent departure from Tehran for the UN General Assembly and ongoing public statements on foreign policy and bilateral ties. Iran's institutional framework, including oversight by the Supreme Leader, provides substantial protection against abrupt detention of a sitting president, and no verified reports or official actions point to imminent legal proceedings. Trader consensus at 99.4% for "No" reflects this continuity and the absence of triggering events such as a major internal power shift or confirmed charges. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome before September 28 include an unanticipated directive from senior clerical or security bodies, a sudden escalation in factional disputes, or the emergence of previously undisclosed legal findings tied to recent conflicts or protests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,230結束日期
2026-09-29市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 5:02 PM ETIranian President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise executive authority without interruption, as evidenced by his recent departure from Tehran for the UN General Assembly and ongoing public statements on foreign policy and bilateral ties. Iran's institutional framework, including oversight by the Supreme Leader, provides substantial protection against abrupt detention of a sitting president, and no verified reports or official actions point to imminent legal proceedings. Trader consensus at 99.4% for "No" reflects this continuity and the absence of triggering events such as a major internal power shift or confirmed charges. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome before September 28 include an unanticipated directive from senior clerical or security bodies, a sudden escalation in factional disputes, or the emergence of previously undisclosed legal findings tied to recent conflicts or protests.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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