Mary Gay Scanlon’s commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victory margins in prior cycles, including her 65.3% share in 2024. As incumbent since 2018, Scanlon benefits from name recognition, established fundraising that has produced substantial cash reserves, and committee roles that reinforce her profile in the suburban Philadelphia area. Her Republican opponent, Nicholas Manganaro, advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary but entered the race with limited prior political experience and minimal reported resources. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$37,067 交易量
$37,067 交易量
2026-11-02
瑪麗·蓋伊·斯坎倫（民主黨）
98%
尼可拉斯·曼加納羅（共和黨）
1%
$37,067 交易量
$37,067 交易量
2026-11-02
瑪麗·蓋伊·斯坎倫（民主黨）
$12,557 交易量
98%
尼可拉斯·曼加納羅（共和黨）
$24,511 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon’s commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victory margins in prior cycles, including her 65.3% share in 2024. As incumbent since 2018, Scanlon benefits from name recognition, established fundraising that has produced substantial cash reserves, and committee roles that reinforce her profile in the suburban Philadelphia area. Her Republican opponent, Nicholas Manganaro, advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary but entered the race with limited prior political experience and minimal reported resources. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$37,067結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon’s commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victory margins in prior cycles, including her 65.3% share in 2024. As incumbent since 2018, Scanlon benefits from name recognition, established fundraising that has produced substantial cash reserves, and committee roles that reinforce her profile in the suburban Philadelphia area. Her Republican opponent, Nicholas Manganaro, advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary but entered the race with limited prior political experience and minimal reported resources. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,067結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETMary Gay Scanlon’s commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victory margins in prior cycles, including her 65.3% share in 2024. As incumbent since 2018, Scanlon benefits from name recognition, established fundraising that has produced substantial cash reserves, and committee roles that reinforce her profile in the suburban Philadelphia area. Her Republican opponent, Nicholas Manganaro, advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary but entered the race with limited prior political experience and minimal reported resources. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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