Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest edge in trader pricing for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her repeated numerical leads in recent polling. Surveys from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, place her ahead or tied at the top of consolidated first-and-second vote totals, typically in the low-to-mid teens alongside Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), with Pedro Paulo (PSD) and Carlos Jordy (PL) close behind. The fragmented field—seventeen registered candidates—produces heavy vote splitting on the right and elevated shares of undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight positioning among the main contenders. High name recognition for da Silva and Crivella, combined with the two-vote system, has kept separation modest through early September. Further separation would likely require late campaign momentum, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout among defined voter blocs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Benedita da Silva 60%
Marcelo Crivella 19.4%
卡洛斯·喬迪 10%
佩德羅·保羅 2.6%
$44,562 交易量
$44,562 交易量
2026-10-04
Benedita da Silva
60%
Marcelo Crivella
19%
卡洛斯·喬迪
10%
佩德羅·保羅
3%
卡洛斯·波爾蒂尼奧
2%
奧·克萊門特
<1%
安德烈·蒙特羅
<1%
赫利奧·塞科
<1%
盧西亞諾·馬托斯
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
馬科斯·迪亞斯
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
莫妮卡·貝尼西奧
<1%
保拉·法爾康
<1%
維尼修斯·貝內維德斯
<1%
瓦吉尼奧
<1%
Benedita da Silva 60%
Marcelo Crivella 19.4%
卡洛斯·喬迪 10%
佩德羅·保羅 2.6%
$44,562 交易量
$44,562 交易量
2026-10-04
Benedita da Silva
$16,434 交易量
60%
Marcelo Crivella
$4,038 交易量
19%
卡洛斯·喬迪
$9,817 交易量
10%
佩德羅·保羅
$2,432 交易量
3%
卡洛斯·波爾蒂尼奧
$3,168 交易量
2%
奧·克萊門特
$1,628 交易量
<1%
安德烈·蒙特羅
$816 交易量
<1%
赫利奧·塞科
$490 交易量
<1%
盧西亞諾·馬托斯
$375 交易量
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$763 交易量
<1%
馬科斯·迪亞斯
$887 交易量
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$671 交易量
<1%
莫妮卡·貝尼西奧
$843 交易量
<1%
保拉·法爾康
$845 交易量
<1%
維尼修斯·貝內維德斯
$649 交易量
<1%
瓦吉尼奧
$707 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest edge in trader pricing for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her repeated numerical leads in recent polling. Surveys from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, place her ahead or tied at the top of consolidated first-and-second vote totals, typically in the low-to-mid teens alongside Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), with Pedro Paulo (PSD) and Carlos Jordy (PL) close behind. The fragmented field—seventeen registered candidates—produces heavy vote splitting on the right and elevated shares of undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight positioning among the main contenders. High name recognition for da Silva and Crivella, combined with the two-vote system, has kept separation modest through early September. Further separation would likely require late campaign momentum, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout among defined voter blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
交易量
$44,562結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest edge in trader pricing for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her repeated numerical leads in recent polling. Surveys from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, place her ahead or tied at the top of consolidated first-and-second vote totals, typically in the low-to-mid teens alongside Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), with Pedro Paulo (PSD) and Carlos Jordy (PL) close behind. The fragmented field—seventeen registered candidates—produces heavy vote splitting on the right and elevated shares of undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight positioning among the main contenders. High name recognition for da Silva and Crivella, combined with the two-vote system, has kept separation modest through early September. Further separation would likely require late campaign momentum, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout among defined voter blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$44,562結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETBenedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest edge in trader pricing for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her repeated numerical leads in recent polling. Surveys from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, place her ahead or tied at the top of consolidated first-and-second vote totals, typically in the low-to-mid teens alongside Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), with Pedro Paulo (PSD) and Carlos Jordy (PL) close behind. The fragmented field—seventeen registered candidates—produces heavy vote splitting on the right and elevated shares of undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight positioning among the main contenders. High name recognition for da Silva and Crivella, combined with the two-vote system, has kept separation modest through early September. Further separation would likely require late campaign momentum, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout among defined voter blocs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions