Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡皮唐·瓦格納 44%
卡塔麗娜·馬托斯 44%
Cid Gomes 44%
Lino Alves 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格納
44%
卡塔麗娜·馬托斯
44%
Cid Gomes
44%
Lino Alves
44%
Luizianne
44%
雷吉納爾多
44%
阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
44%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 44%
卡塔麗娜·馬托斯 44%
Cid Gomes 44%
Lino Alves 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格納
$0 交易量
44%
卡塔麗娜·馬托斯
$0 交易量
44%
Cid Gomes
$0 交易量
44%
Lino Alves
$0 交易量
44%
Luizianne
$0 交易量
44%
雷吉納爾多
$0 交易量
44%
阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯
$0 交易量
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
$0 交易量
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions