SpaceX valuation dynamics center on Starlink's accelerating revenue trajectory and launch cadence amid a competitive secondary market for illiquid SPCX shares. With multiple closing ranges clustered near 49.5% implied probability, traders reflect high uncertainty driven by variable weekly order flow, potential regulatory updates on satellite spectrum, and sensitivity to broader risk-asset sentiment reflected in Treasury yields and tech multiples. Primary catalysts include recent Starship test milestones and any disclosed tender activity or funding round signals, which could shift the distribution across the $120–$165 bands. The even pricing underscores how modest changes in perceived fundamentals or macro conditions could tip resolution toward any single interval by week's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於低於120美元 47%
120-125美元 46%
$125-$130 46%
$130-$135 46%
低於120美元
47%
120-125美元
46%
$125-$130
46%
$130-$135
46%
$135-$140
46%
$140-$145
46%
$145-$150
46%
$150-$155
46%
$155-$160
46%
$160-$165
46%
>165 美元
45%
低於120美元 47%
120-125美元 46%
$125-$130 46%
$130-$135 46%
低於120美元
47%
120-125美元
46%
$125-$130
46%
$130-$135
46%
$135-$140
46%
$140-$145
46%
$145-$150
46%
$150-$155
46%
$155-$160
46%
$160-$165
46%
>165 美元
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
SpaceX valuation dynamics center on Starlink's accelerating revenue trajectory and launch cadence amid a competitive secondary market for illiquid SPCX shares. With multiple closing ranges clustered near 49.5% implied probability, traders reflect high uncertainty driven by variable weekly order flow, potential regulatory updates on satellite spectrum, and sensitivity to broader risk-asset sentiment reflected in Treasury yields and tech multiples. Primary catalysts include recent Starship test milestones and any disclosed tender activity or funding round signals, which could shift the distribution across the $120–$165 bands. The even pricing underscores how modest changes in perceived fundamentals or macro conditions could tip resolution toward any single interval by week's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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