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政治·世界選舉

泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·世界選舉

泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK） 74%

ADMK 15.6%

TVK 6.9%

全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%

Polymarket

$361,121 交易量

德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK） 74%

ADMK 15.6%

TVK 6.9%

全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%

Polymarket

$361,121 交易量

德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）

$53,379 交易量

74%

全印度安納德拉維達進步聯盟（ADMK）是否會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位？ icon

ADMK

$47,832 交易量

16%

泰米爾納德勝利聯盟（TVK）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

TVK

$79,153 交易量

7%

全印度草根大會黨（AITC）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席次嗎？ icon

全印度草根大會黨（AITC）

$19,827 交易量

<1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義）（CPI(M)）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

$38,302 交易量

<1%

德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）

$12,329 交易量

<1%

巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）

$12,144 交易量

<1%

印度共產黨（CPI）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度共產黨（CPI）

$13,064 交易量

<1%

印度國民大會黨（INC）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法機構選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$34,415 交易量

<1%

全國人民黨（NPEP）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

NPEP

$12,372 交易量

<1%

印度人民黨（BJP）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度人民黨（BJP）

$21,158 交易量

<1%

全國國民大會黨（NCP）會在2026年泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

全國國民大會黨（NCP）

$17,147 交易量

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability of winning the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on April 23, reflecting strong organizational strength, welfare scheme delivery, and recent opinion polls showing comfortable leads amid anti-incumbency concerns. AIADMK trails at 16% due to internal leadership disputes and fragmented opposition alliances, limiting its comeback potential despite booth-level data-driven campaigns launched in late January. TVK at 7% benefits from actor Vijay's popularity and nominations filed in early April, but remains untested in its debut, with markets skeptical of disrupting the Dravidian duopoly in this single-phase poll counting votes on May 4. Recent Vijay statements framing a bipolar TVK-DMK fight have not shifted odds, as DMK consolidates alliances with INC and left parties.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$361,121
結束日期
2026-04-23
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability of winning the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on April 23, reflecting strong organizational strength, welfare scheme delivery, and recent opinion polls showing comfortable leads amid anti-incumbency concerns. AIADMK trails at 16% due to internal leadership disputes and fragmented opposition alliances, limiting its comeback potential despite booth-level data-driven campaigns launched in late January. TVK at 7% benefits from actor Vijay's popularity and nominations filed in early April, but remains untested in its debut, with markets skeptical of disrupting the Dravidian duopoly in this single-phase poll counting votes on May 4. Recent Vijay statements framing a bipolar TVK-DMK fight have not shifted odds, as DMK consolidates alliances with INC and left parties.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$361,121
結束日期
2026-04-23
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）" at 74%, followed by "ADMK" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $361.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ADMK" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.