Universal's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds dominant trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability for under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, fueled by Box Office Pro's Thursday tracking projecting $35-45 million—a projected 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame after a massive $132 million Easter opening. This reflects typical front-loaded family animated performance post-holiday, with softer legs than the 2023 original's -35% third-week hold to $60 million, amid waning initial turnout despite strong word-of-mouth and no direct family competition. Domestic cume stands at $310 million through Monday. Upsets above $44 million could stem from robust presales, favorable weather boosting family outings, or underperforming holdovers like Project Hail Mary, though historical patterns favor the under.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第三週末票房
《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第三週末票房
低於4400萬 95.3%
4400萬-4800萬 3.6%
>5200萬 <1%
4800-5200萬 <1%
$38,382 交易量
$38,382 交易量
2026-04-20
低於4400萬
95%
4400萬-4800萬
4%
4800-5200萬
<1%
>5200萬
1%
低於4400萬 95.3%
4400萬-4800萬 3.6%
>5200萬 <1%
4800-5200萬 <1%
$38,382 交易量
$38,382 交易量
2026-04-20
低於4400萬
$3,376 交易量
95%
4400萬-4800萬
$5,091 交易量
4%
4800-5200萬
$8,062 交易量
<1%
>5200萬
$21,853 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds dominant trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability for under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, fueled by Box Office Pro's Thursday tracking projecting $35-45 million—a projected 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame after a massive $132 million Easter opening. This reflects typical front-loaded family animated performance post-holiday, with softer legs than the 2023 original's -35% third-week hold to $60 million, amid waning initial turnout despite strong word-of-mouth and no direct family competition. Domestic cume stands at $310 million through Monday. Upsets above $44 million could stem from robust presales, favorable weather boosting family outings, or underperforming holdovers like Project Hail Mary, though historical patterns favor the under.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
交易量
$38,382結束日期
2026-04-20市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds dominant trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability for under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, fueled by Box Office Pro's Thursday tracking projecting $35-45 million—a projected 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame after a massive $132 million Easter opening. This reflects typical front-loaded family animated performance post-holiday, with softer legs than the 2023 original's -35% third-week hold to $60 million, amid waning initial turnout despite strong word-of-mouth and no direct family competition. Domestic cume stands at $310 million through Monday. Upsets above $44 million could stem from robust presales, favorable weather boosting family outings, or underperforming holdovers like Project Hail Mary, though historical patterns favor the under.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$38,382結束日期
2026-04-20市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Universal's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds dominant trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability for under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, fueled by Box Office Pro's Thursday tracking projecting $35-45 million—a projected 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame after a massive $132 million Easter opening. This reflects typical front-loaded family animated performance post-holiday, with softer legs than the 2023 original's -35% third-week hold to $60 million, amid waning initial turnout despite strong word-of-mouth and no direct family competition. Domestic cume stands at $310 million through Monday. Upsets above $44 million could stem from robust presales, favorable weather boosting family outings, or underperforming holdovers like Project Hail Mary, though historical patterns favor the under.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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