The high trader consensus against removal of President Trump via the 25th Amendment before 2027 stems primarily from the amendment's demanding procedural requirements under Section 4, which demand the vice president and a majority of cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity, followed by potential congressional votes. With aligned executive branch leadership and sustained party support in Congress as of mid-2026, no credible moves toward invocation have emerged from official channels or public statements. Historical precedent shows the provision has never been used to remove a sitting president, and current polling, legislative dynamics, and absence of acute health or governance crises reinforce the low probability. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden documented incapacity, bipartisan congressional action amid unforeseen events, or major legal rulings altering succession procedures within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$50,096 交易量
$50,096 交易量
是
$50,096 交易量
$50,096 交易量
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
The high trader consensus against removal of President Trump via the 25th Amendment before 2027 stems primarily from the amendment's demanding procedural requirements under Section 4, which demand the vice president and a majority of cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity, followed by potential congressional votes. With aligned executive branch leadership and sustained party support in Congress as of mid-2026, no credible moves toward invocation have emerged from official channels or public statements. Historical precedent shows the provision has never been used to remove a sitting president, and current polling, legislative dynamics, and absence of acute health or governance crises reinforce the low probability. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden documented incapacity, bipartisan congressional action amid unforeseen events, or major legal rulings altering succession procedures within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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