Trader consensus at 96.8% against resignation before 2027 reflects President Trump's continued incumbency with no public statements, party pressures, or procedural signals indicating an early exit. Political incentives favor completing the term amid an active legislative agenda and upcoming electoral considerations, consistent with historical patterns for second-term presidents. Health updates and approval metrics have shown no abrupt shifts that would prompt withdrawal. Even at this elevated implied probability, late developments such as significant health events, major legal rulings, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outlook within the resolution window through 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
$23,487 交易量
$23,487 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 機率
$23,487 交易量
$23,487 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus at 96.8% against resignation before 2027 reflects President Trump's continued incumbency with no public statements, party pressures, or procedural signals indicating an early exit. Political incentives favor completing the term amid an active legislative agenda and upcoming electoral considerations, consistent with historical patterns for second-term presidents. Health updates and approval metrics have shown no abrupt shifts that would prompt withdrawal. Even at this elevated implied probability, late developments such as significant health events, major legal rulings, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outlook within the resolution window through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
交易量
$23,487結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus at 96.8% against resignation before 2027 reflects President Trump's continued incumbency with no public statements, party pressures, or procedural signals indicating an early exit. Political incentives favor completing the term amid an active legislative agenda and upcoming electoral considerations, consistent with historical patterns for second-term presidents. Health updates and approval metrics have shown no abrupt shifts that would prompt withdrawal. Even at this elevated implied probability, late developments such as significant health events, major legal rulings, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outlook within the resolution window through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,487結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETTrader consensus at 96.8% against resignation before 2027 reflects President Trump's continued incumbency with no public statements, party pressures, or procedural signals indicating an early exit. Political incentives favor completing the term amid an active legislative agenda and upcoming electoral considerations, consistent with historical patterns for second-term presidents. Health updates and approval metrics have shown no abrupt shifts that would prompt withdrawal. Even at this elevated implied probability, late developments such as significant health events, major legal rulings, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outlook within the resolution window through 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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