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Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？

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Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？

是

11% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

11% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent President Félix Tshisekedi's re-election in December 2023 with 73% of the vote, upheld by the Constitutional Court despite opposition fraud claims, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% probability he remains in office by December 31, 2026, midway through his term ending in 2028. No recent impeachment efforts, resignation rumors, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past 30 days, amid ongoing eastern DRC security challenges with M23 rebels where Tshisekedi has secured SADC troop deployments and accused Rwanda of backing insurgents. Diplomatic initiatives like the stalled Luanda peace process highlight his active leadership without signs of domestic erosion, though intensified conflict or health events could shift odds.

Incumbent President Félix Tshisekedi's re-election in December 2023 with 73% of the vote, upheld by the Constitutional Court despite opposition fraud claims, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% probability he remains in office by December 31, 2026, midway through his term ending in 2028. No recent impeachment efforts, resignation rumors, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past 30 days, amid ongoing eastern DRC security challenges with M23 rebels where Tshisekedi has secured SADC troop deployments and accused Rwanda of backing insurgents. Diplomatic initiatives like the stalled Luanda peace process highlight his active leadership without signs of domestic erosion, though intensified conflict or health events could shift odds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent President Félix Tshisekedi's re-election in December 2023 with 73% of the vote, upheld by the Constitutional Court despite opposition fraud claims, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% probability he remains in office by December 31, 2026, midway through his term ending in 2028. No recent impeachment efforts, resignation rumors, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past 30 days, amid ongoing eastern DRC security challenges with M23 rebels where Tshisekedi has secured SADC troop deployments and accused Rwanda of backing insurgents. Diplomatic initiatives like the stalled Luanda peace process highlight his active leadership without signs of domestic erosion, though intensified conflict or health events could shift odds.

Incumbent President Félix Tshisekedi's re-election in December 2023 with 73% of the vote, upheld by the Constitutional Court despite opposition fraud claims, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% probability he remains in office by December 31, 2026, midway through his term ending in 2028. No recent impeachment efforts, resignation rumors, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past 30 days, amid ongoing eastern DRC security challenges with M23 rebels where Tshisekedi has secured SADC troop deployments and accused Rwanda of backing insurgents. Diplomatic initiatives like the stalled Luanda peace process highlight his active leadership without signs of domestic erosion, though intensified conflict or health events could shift odds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "齊塞克迪會在2026年12月31日前卸任剛果（金）總統嗎？" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？" is "齊塞克迪會在2026年12月31日前卸任剛果（金）總統嗎？" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.