Turkey’s governing coalition has advanced a broad “Framework Law” on PKK disarmament and reintegration that passed parliament in August 2026 with 467–468 votes, yet this legislative momentum has not translated into a formal call for a constitutional referendum this year. Recent statements from presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and reports from early September indicate that any new charter or term-limit adjustments are being deferred until after the 2028 presidential election, with the preferred route being a parliamentary vote to trigger early elections rather than a popular referendum. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s earlier optimism about a 2026–2027 constitution has not produced an announced ballot date or enabling legislation, leaving traders with little evidence that a referendum will be scheduled before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於11% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
11% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s governing coalition has advanced a broad “Framework Law” on PKK disarmament and reintegration that passed parliament in August 2026 with 467–468 votes, yet this legislative momentum has not translated into a formal call for a constitutional referendum this year. Recent statements from presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and reports from early September indicate that any new charter or term-limit adjustments are being deferred until after the 2028 presidential election, with the preferred route being a parliamentary vote to trigger early elections rather than a popular referendum. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s earlier optimism about a 2026–2027 constitution has not produced an announced ballot date or enabling legislation, leaving traders with little evidence that a referendum will be scheduled before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$7,039結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s governing coalition has advanced a broad “Framework Law” on PKK disarmament and reintegration that passed parliament in August 2026 with 467–468 votes, yet this legislative momentum has not translated into a formal call for a constitutional referendum this year. Recent statements from presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and reports from early September indicate that any new charter or term-limit adjustments are being deferred until after the 2028 presidential election, with the preferred route being a parliamentary vote to trigger early elections rather than a popular referendum. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s earlier optimism about a 2026–2027 constitution has not produced an announced ballot date or enabling legislation, leaving traders with little evidence that a referendum will be scheduled before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETTurkey’s governing coalition has advanced a broad “Framework Law” on PKK disarmament and reintegration that passed parliament in August 2026 with 467–468 votes, yet this legislative momentum has not translated into a formal call for a constitutional referendum this year. Recent statements from presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and reports from early September indicate that any new charter or term-limit adjustments are being deferred until after the 2028 presidential election, with the preferred route being a parliamentary vote to trigger early elections rather than a popular referendum. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s earlier optimism about a 2026–2027 constitution has not produced an announced ballot date or enabling legislation, leaving traders with little evidence that a referendum will be scheduled before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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