Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire expiring soon and a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports, diplomats led by Pakistan are racing to arrange a second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad, following inconclusive marathon talks there on April 11-12 that failed to yield a peace deal. President Trump stated April 14 that follow-up discussions could occur within days, with White House officials describing ongoing indirect contacts as "productive," potentially involving Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts. Tehran rejected initial U.S. terms on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening uncertainty; traders eye announcements on dates or venues like Geneva as escalation risks loom in the Strait of Hormuz.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,111,175 交易量
2026-04-30
4月16日
1%
4月17日
5%
4月18日
13%
4月22日
70%
4月30日
89%
$1,111,175 交易量
4月16日
$90,809 交易量
1%
4月17日
$41,476 交易量
5%
4月18日
$560,600 交易量
13%
4月22日
$227,487 交易量
70%
4月30日
$116,438 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire expiring soon and a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports, diplomats led by Pakistan are racing to arrange a second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad, following inconclusive marathon talks there on April 11-12 that failed to yield a peace deal. President Trump stated April 14 that follow-up discussions could occur within days, with White House officials describing ongoing indirect contacts as "productive," potentially involving Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts. Tehran rejected initial U.S. terms on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening uncertainty; traders eye announcements on dates or venues like Geneva as escalation risks loom in the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,111,175結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire expiring soon and a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports, diplomats led by Pakistan are racing to arrange a second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad, following inconclusive marathon talks there on April 11-12 that failed to yield a peace deal. President Trump stated April 14 that follow-up discussions could occur within days, with White House officials describing ongoing indirect contacts as "productive," potentially involving Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts. Tehran rejected initial U.S. terms on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening uncertainty; traders eye announcements on dates or venues like Geneva as escalation risks loom in the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,111,175結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire expiring soon and a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports, diplomats led by Pakistan are racing to arrange a second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad, following inconclusive marathon talks there on April 11-12 that failed to yield a peace deal. President Trump stated April 14 that follow-up discussions could occur within days, with White House officials describing ongoing indirect contacts as "productive," potentially involving Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts. Tehran rejected initial U.S. terms on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening uncertainty; traders eye announcements on dates or venues like Geneva as escalation risks loom in the Strait of Hormuz.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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