Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his long incumbency since 2001, the district's consistent Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, and his strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where he led with 44.9% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and Larsen's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million. Challenger Edwin Feller, a political newcomer with minimal reported campaign resources, advanced as the Republican but trails significantly in modeling projections of a 30-plus-point margin. Trader consensus around 96% probability for Larsen aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$30,702 交易量
$30,702 交易量
2026-11-02
瑞克·拉森（民主黨）
96%
Edwin Feller（共和黨）
2%
$30,702 交易量
$30,702 交易量
2026-11-02
瑞克·拉森（民主黨）
$13,157 交易量
96%
Edwin Feller（共和黨）
$17,545 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his long incumbency since 2001, the district's consistent Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, and his strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where he led with 44.9% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and Larsen's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million. Challenger Edwin Feller, a political newcomer with minimal reported campaign resources, advanced as the Republican but trails significantly in modeling projections of a 30-plus-point margin. Trader consensus around 96% probability for Larsen aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$30,702結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his long incumbency since 2001, the district's consistent Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, and his strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where he led with 44.9% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and Larsen's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million. Challenger Edwin Feller, a political newcomer with minimal reported campaign resources, advanced as the Republican but trails significantly in modeling projections of a 30-plus-point margin. Trader consensus around 96% probability for Larsen aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,702結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his long incumbency since 2001, the district's consistent Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, and his strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where he led with 44.9% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and Larsen's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million. Challenger Edwin Feller, a political newcomer with minimal reported campaign resources, advanced as the Republican but trails significantly in modeling projections of a 30-plus-point margin. Trader consensus around 96% probability for Larsen aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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