The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) maintains its constitutionally recognized semi-autonomous status within Iraq and has prioritized budget negotiations, oil revenue sharing, and fiscal stabilization with the federal government in Baghdad. Recent agreements on production costs, export mechanisms, and salary transfers reflect ongoing cooperation rather than secession efforts. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have publicly stressed neutrality amid regional conflicts and focused on internal economic reforms and renewed Erbil-Baghdad ties under the 2005 constitution. No official statements, legislative actions, or referendum plans signal movement toward independence by December 31, 2026. Historical precedent from the 2017 referendum, which prompted territorial losses and international opposition, further discourages unilateral steps. Trader consensus on low probability aligns with the absence of catalysts for a declaration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
5% 機率
$272,582 交易量
$272,582 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 機率
$272,582 交易量
$272,582 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) maintains its constitutionally recognized semi-autonomous status within Iraq and has prioritized budget negotiations, oil revenue sharing, and fiscal stabilization with the federal government in Baghdad. Recent agreements on production costs, export mechanisms, and salary transfers reflect ongoing cooperation rather than secession efforts. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have publicly stressed neutrality amid regional conflicts and focused on internal economic reforms and renewed Erbil-Baghdad ties under the 2005 constitution. No official statements, legislative actions, or referendum plans signal movement toward independence by December 31, 2026. Historical precedent from the 2017 referendum, which prompted territorial losses and international opposition, further discourages unilateral steps. Trader consensus on low probability aligns with the absence of catalysts for a declaration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$272,582結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) maintains its constitutionally recognized semi-autonomous status within Iraq and has prioritized budget negotiations, oil revenue sharing, and fiscal stabilization with the federal government in Baghdad. Recent agreements on production costs, export mechanisms, and salary transfers reflect ongoing cooperation rather than secession efforts. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have publicly stressed neutrality amid regional conflicts and focused on internal economic reforms and renewed Erbil-Baghdad ties under the 2005 constitution. No official statements, legislative actions, or referendum plans signal movement toward independence by December 31, 2026. Historical precedent from the 2017 referendum, which prompted territorial losses and international opposition, further discourages unilateral steps. Trader consensus on low probability aligns with the absence of catalysts for a declaration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$272,582結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) maintains its constitutionally recognized semi-autonomous status within Iraq and has prioritized budget negotiations, oil revenue sharing, and fiscal stabilization with the federal government in Baghdad. Recent agreements on production costs, export mechanisms, and salary transfers reflect ongoing cooperation rather than secession efforts. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have publicly stressed neutrality amid regional conflicts and focused on internal economic reforms and renewed Erbil-Baghdad ties under the 2005 constitution. No official statements, legislative actions, or referendum plans signal movement toward independence by December 31, 2026. Historical precedent from the 2017 referendum, which prompted territorial losses and international opposition, further discourages unilateral steps. Trader consensus on low probability aligns with the absence of catalysts for a declaration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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