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icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？
政治·Benjamin Netanyahu

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？

icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？
政治·Benjamin Netanyahu

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？

$484,244 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$484,244 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$13,226 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog has deferred action on Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request in the ongoing corruption trials, instead prioritizing mediation toward a plea deal as reaffirmed in late April 2026. The Ministry of Justice has advised against pre-conviction clemency, and the trial remains in the cross-examination stage with no verdict expected before late 2026. External pressure from U.S. officials, including repeated public calls by President Trump, has not altered Herzog’s procedural stance or Israel’s institutional requirements for clemency. Recent comments from opposition figures such as Naftali Bennett linking any pardon to Netanyahu’s permanent retirement from politics have not shifted the president’s timeline. These factors sustain trader consensus on low odds of a formal pardon by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$484,244
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog has deferred action on Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request in the ongoing corruption trials, instead prioritizing mediation toward a plea deal as reaffirmed in late April 2026. The Ministry of Justice has advised against pre-conviction clemency, and the trial remains in the cross-examination stage with no verdict expected before late 2026. External pressure from U.S. officials, including repeated public calls by President Trump, has not altered Herzog’s procedural stance or Israel’s institutional requirements for clemency. Recent comments from opposition figures such as Naftali Bennett linking any pardon to Netanyahu’s permanent retirement from politics have not shifted the president’s timeline. These factors sustain trader consensus on low odds of a formal pardon by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$484,244
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 8%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" has generated $484.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" is "12月31日" at just 8%, with "6月30日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.