The Senate’s unanimous July 2026 resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of the year. Bipartisan support for the measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, highlighted Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors tied to Jeffrey Epstein and signaled broad institutional resistance, including from Republican members. Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing clemency but has described the topic as unconsidered and subject to Department of Justice input, while his administration has faced scrutiny over Epstein-related file releases. These factors, combined with the political risks of appearing to extend leniency in a high-profile case involving minor victims, have sustained the strong market consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability assigned to no pardon occurring.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
8% 機率
$742,891 交易量
$742,891 交易量
2026-12-31
是
8% 機率
$742,891 交易量
$742,891 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Senate’s unanimous July 2026 resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of the year. Bipartisan support for the measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, highlighted Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors tied to Jeffrey Epstein and signaled broad institutional resistance, including from Republican members. Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing clemency but has described the topic as unconsidered and subject to Department of Justice input, while his administration has faced scrutiny over Epstein-related file releases. These factors, combined with the political risks of appearing to extend leniency in a high-profile case involving minor victims, have sustained the strong market consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability assigned to no pardon occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
交易量
$742,891結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Senate’s unanimous July 2026 resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of the year. Bipartisan support for the measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, highlighted Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors tied to Jeffrey Epstein and signaled broad institutional resistance, including from Republican members. Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing clemency but has described the topic as unconsidered and subject to Department of Justice input, while his administration has faced scrutiny over Epstein-related file releases. These factors, combined with the political risks of appearing to extend leniency in a high-profile case involving minor victims, have sustained the strong market consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability assigned to no pardon occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$742,891結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The Senate’s unanimous July 2026 resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of the year. Bipartisan support for the measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, highlighted Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors tied to Jeffrey Epstein and signaled broad institutional resistance, including from Republican members. Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing clemency but has described the topic as unconsidered and subject to Department of Justice input, while his administration has faced scrutiny over Epstein-related file releases. These factors, combined with the political risks of appearing to extend leniency in a high-profile case involving minor victims, have sustained the strong market consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability assigned to no pardon occurring.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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