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政治·韩国

2026年釜山市长选举获胜者

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政治·韩国

2026年釜山市长选举获胜者

全在洙 80%

朴亨埈 18%

曹国 <1%

朴成勋 <1%

Polymarket

$399,932 交易量

全在洙 80%

朴亨埈 18%

曹国 <1%

朴成勋 <1%

Polymarket

$399,932 交易量

全在洙会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

全在洙

$35,153 交易量

80%

朴亨埈会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

朴亨埈

$15,374 交易量

18%

曹国会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

曹国

$136,369 交易量

<1%

朴成勋会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

朴成勋

$6,656 交易量

<1%

金度燁会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

金度燁

$13,529 交易量

<1%

洪顺宪会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

洪顺宪

$6,455 交易量

<1%

赵庆泰会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

赵庆泰

$9,429 交易量

<1%

崔仁浩会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

崔仁浩

$35,405 交易量

<1%

李在成会赢得2026釜山市长选举吗？ icon

李在成

$7,038 交易量

<1%

金映埈会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

金映埈

$9,853 交易量

<1%

徐秉洙会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

徐秉洙

$118,030 交易量

<1%

朴在浩会赢得2026年釜山市长选举吗？ icon

朴在浩

$6,641 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo leads Polymarket trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey released April 14. Chun secured his party's nomination last week after a primary victory over Rep. Lee Jae-sung, bolstered by a joint prosecutorial-police clearance on April 10 from bribery allegations tied to a Unification Church probe, easing legal risks. Park, acclaimed as his party's candidate on April 11 seeking a third term, trails amid national conservative challenges and local voter shifts in this traditional PPP stronghold, with the race tightening toward early voting and final debates.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
交易量
$399,932
结束日期
2026-06-03
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo leads Polymarket trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey released April 14. Chun secured his party's nomination last week after a primary victory over Rep. Lee Jae-sung, bolstered by a joint prosecutorial-police clearance on April 10 from bribery allegations tied to a Unification Church probe, easing legal risks. Park, acclaimed as his party's candidate on April 11 seeking a third term, trails amid national conservative challenges and local voter shifts in this traditional PPP stronghold, with the race tightening toward early voting and final debates.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
交易量
$399,932
结束日期
2026-06-03
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年釜山市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"全在洙"，概率为 80%，其次是"朴亨埈"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 80¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 80%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年釜山市长选举获胜者"已产生 $399.9K 的总交易量（自Nov 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年釜山市长选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年釜山市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"全在洙"，概率为 80%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 80%。紧随其后的结果是"朴亨埈"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年釜山市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。