Pre-poll opinion surveys from Matrize, C-Voter, and Peoples Pulse projected a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, forecasting 85-96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, well above the 63-seat majority, driving trader consensus to 96% on BJP victory. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and alliance strength contesting 103 seats, contrasted with fragmented opposition including Congress under Gaurav Gogoi. Record 85.6% voter turnout on April 9 further solidified expectations of NDA retention after two terms. Results await counting on May 4; rare challenges could arise from vote recounts, EVM discrepancies, or post-poll alliances, though polls suggest minimal risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于印度人民党（BJP） 96.2%
印度国民大会党（INC） 2.9%
全印度草根大会党 <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,364 交易量
$60,364 交易量
2026-05-20
印度人民党（BJP）
96%
印度国民大会党（INC）
3%
全印度草根大会党
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
全印联合民主阵线（AIUDF）
<1%
博多兰人民阵线（BPF）
<1%
印度共产党（CPI）
<1%
NPEP
<1%
阿萨姆人民联合会（AGP）
<1%
印度人民党（BJP） 96.2%
印度国民大会党（INC） 2.9%
全印度草根大会党 <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,364 交易量
$60,364 交易量
2026-05-20
印度人民党（BJP）
$11,682 交易量
96%
印度国民大会党（INC）
$7,393 交易量
3%
全印度草根大会党
$4,503 交易量
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,830 交易量
<1%
NCP
$4,181 交易量
<1%
全印联合民主阵线（AIUDF）
$4,917 交易量
<1%
博多兰人民阵线（BPF）
$4,458 交易量
<1%
印度共产党（CPI）
$8,605 交易量
<1%
NPEP
$5,154 交易量
<1%
阿萨姆人民联合会（AGP）
$4,642 交易量
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Pre-poll opinion surveys from Matrize, C-Voter, and Peoples Pulse projected a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, forecasting 85-96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, well above the 63-seat majority, driving trader consensus to 96% on BJP victory. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and alliance strength contesting 103 seats, contrasted with fragmented opposition including Congress under Gaurav Gogoi. Record 85.6% voter turnout on April 9 further solidified expectations of NDA retention after two terms. Results await counting on May 4; rare challenges could arise from vote recounts, EVM discrepancies, or post-poll alliances, though polls suggest minimal risk.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
交易量
$60,364结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Pre-poll opinion surveys from Matrize, C-Voter, and Peoples Pulse projected a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, forecasting 85-96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, well above the 63-seat majority, driving trader consensus to 96% on BJP victory. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and alliance strength contesting 103 seats, contrasted with fragmented opposition including Congress under Gaurav Gogoi. Record 85.6% voter turnout on April 9 further solidified expectations of NDA retention after two terms. Results await counting on May 4; rare challenges could arise from vote recounts, EVM discrepancies, or post-poll alliances, though polls suggest minimal risk.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$60,364结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pre-poll opinion surveys from Matrize, C-Voter, and Peoples Pulse projected a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, forecasting 85-96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, well above the 63-seat majority, driving trader consensus to 96% on BJP victory. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and alliance strength contesting 103 seats, contrasted with fragmented opposition including Congress under Gaurav Gogoi. Record 85.6% voter turnout on April 9 further solidified expectations of NDA retention after two terms. Results await counting on May 4; rare challenges could arise from vote recounts, EVM discrepancies, or post-poll alliances, though polls suggest minimal risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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