Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to become Quebec's next premier via the ongoing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership election, reflecting her consistent polling edge among party members—61% in a late March Léger survey—and broader endorsements from MNAs emphasizing economic priorities and party unity. Bernard Drainville trails at 21.5% but has gained momentum from high-profile support, including three cabinet ministers like Simon Jolin-Barrette on April 6, bolstering his nationalist platform on language and immigration amid ranked-choice voting from April 7–12. Results announcement on April 12 could confirm the successor to outgoing Premier François Legault, with pollsters noting neither candidate ruled out in this tight final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Next Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
最新
最新
2026-04-12
Christine Fréchette
78%
Bernard Drainville
22%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
Christine Fréchette
$4,159 交易量
78%
Bernard Drainville
$5,816 交易量
22%
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to become Quebec's next premier via the ongoing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership election, reflecting her consistent polling edge among party members—61% in a late March Léger survey—and broader endorsements from MNAs emphasizing economic priorities and party unity. Bernard Drainville trails at 21.5% but has gained momentum from high-profile support, including three cabinet ministers like Simon Jolin-Barrette on April 6, bolstering his nationalist platform on language and immigration amid ranked-choice voting from April 7–12. Results announcement on April 12 could confirm the successor to outgoing Premier François Legault, with pollsters noting neither candidate ruled out in this tight final stretch.
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$9,949结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to become Quebec's next premier via the ongoing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership election, reflecting her consistent polling edge among party members—61% in a late March Léger survey—and broader endorsements from MNAs emphasizing economic priorities and party unity. Bernard Drainville trails at 21.5% but has gained momentum from high-profile support, including three cabinet ministers like Simon Jolin-Barrette on April 6, bolstering his nationalist platform on language and immigration amid ranked-choice voting from April 7–12. Results announcement on April 12 could confirm the successor to outgoing Premier François Legault, with pollsters noting neither candidate ruled out in this tight final stretch.
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,949结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to become Quebec's next premier via the ongoing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership election, reflecting her consistent polling edge among party members—61% in a late March Léger survey—and broader endorsements from MNAs emphasizing economic priorities and party unity. Bernard Drainville trails at 21.5% but has gained momentum from high-profile support, including three cabinet ministers like Simon Jolin-Barrette on April 6, bolstering his nationalist platform on language and immigration amid ranked-choice voting from April 7–12. Results announcement on April 12 could confirm the successor to outgoing Premier François Legault, with pollsters noting neither candidate ruled out in this tight final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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