Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Decrease 64%
No change 50%
Increase 28%
最新
最新
2026-06-25
Decrease
50%
No change
50%
Increase
28%
Decrease 64%
No change 50%
Increase 28%
最新
最新
2026-06-25
Decrease
$13 交易量
50%
No change
$0 交易量
50%
Increase
$142 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$155结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$155结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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