Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PP–DB 76%
DPS 16%
复兴党 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,747 交易量
$80,747 交易量
2026-04-19
PP–DB
76%
DPS
16%
复兴党
4%
GERB-SDS
3%
MECh
<1%
保加利亚社会党
<1%
有这样一个民族（ITN）
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
维利奇
<1%
PP–DB 76%
DPS 16%
复兴党 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,747 交易量
$80,747 交易量
2026-04-19
PP–DB
$23,895 交易量
76%
DPS
$12,803 交易量
16%
复兴党
$3,078 交易量
4%
GERB-SDS
$10,118 交易量
3%
MECh
$3,263 交易量
<1%
保加利亚社会党
$20,073 交易量
<1%
有这样一个民族（ITN）
$2,065 交易量
<1%
PB
$1,575 交易量
<1%
APS
$2,076 交易量
<1%
维利奇
$1,802 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$80,747结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$80,747结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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