Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 69.5% to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, propelled by Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt campaign suspension on April 12 amid sexual misconduct allegations, which consolidated fragmented Democratic support behind Steyer's self-funded bid emphasizing affordability, housing, and clean energy. Recent polls, like a Union-Tribune survey, show Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton (5.9% odds) pulling ahead in the June 2 top-two primary, with San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan (8.5%) and ex-Rep. Katie Porter (10%) as trailing Democrats amid a crowded field of over 20 candidates. While polls reflect Republican strength from voter frustration with high costs and crime, traders bet on California's Democratic lean favoring Steyer in the November general if two Democrats advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于汤姆·斯泰尔 69.4%
凯蒂·波特 10.0%
马特·马汉 9%
史蒂夫·希尔顿 5.9%
$10,430,183 交易量
$10,430,183 交易量
汤姆·斯泰尔
69%
凯蒂·波特
10%
马特·马汉
9%
史蒂夫·希尔顿
6%
查德·比安科
2%
哈维尔·贝塞拉
2%
卡马拉·哈里斯
1%
安东尼奥·维拉莱戈萨
<1%
贝蒂·易
<1%
伊莱恩·库洛蒂
<1%
里克·卡鲁索
<1%
斯蒂芬·克鲁贝克
<1%
凯尔·兰福德
<1%
埃莱尼·库纳拉基斯
<1%
托尼·瑟蒙德
<1%
利奥·扎基
<1%
埃里克·斯沃尔韦尔
<1%
亚历克斯·帕迪利亚
<1%
Butch Ware
<1%
托尼·阿特金斯
<1%
丹尼尔·梅库里
<1%
迈克尔·杨格
<1%
妮可·沙纳汉
<1%
汤姆·斯泰尔 69.4%
凯蒂·波特 10.0%
马特·马汉 9%
史蒂夫·希尔顿 5.9%
$10,430,183 交易量
$10,430,183 交易量
汤姆·斯泰尔
69%
凯蒂·波特
10%
马特·马汉
9%
史蒂夫·希尔顿
6%
查德·比安科
2%
哈维尔·贝塞拉
2%
卡马拉·哈里斯
1%
安东尼奥·维拉莱戈萨
<1%
贝蒂·易
<1%
伊莱恩·库洛蒂
<1%
里克·卡鲁索
<1%
斯蒂芬·克鲁贝克
<1%
凯尔·兰福德
<1%
埃莱尼·库纳拉基斯
<1%
托尼·瑟蒙德
<1%
利奥·扎基
<1%
埃里克·斯沃尔韦尔
<1%
亚历克斯·帕迪利亚
<1%
Butch Ware
<1%
托尼·阿特金斯
<1%
丹尼尔·梅库里
<1%
迈克尔·杨格
<1%
妮可·沙纳汉
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 69.5% to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, propelled by Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt campaign suspension on April 12 amid sexual misconduct allegations, which consolidated fragmented Democratic support behind Steyer's self-funded bid emphasizing affordability, housing, and clean energy. Recent polls, like a Union-Tribune survey, show Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton (5.9% odds) pulling ahead in the June 2 top-two primary, with San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan (8.5%) and ex-Rep. Katie Porter (10%) as trailing Democrats amid a crowded field of over 20 candidates. While polls reflect Republican strength from voter frustration with high costs and crime, traders bet on California's Democratic lean favoring Steyer in the November general if two Democrats advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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