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icon for Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?

Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?

icon for Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?

Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?

32% 概率
Polymarket

$3,379 交易量

32% 概率
Polymarket

$3,379 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).Former FBI Director James Comey's April 28 Substack video post titled "Seashells"—responding to a fresh DOJ indictment over his 2025 Instagram seashell image interpreted as a presidential threat—explains the baseline for this market, marking his most recent video message. With no new legal filings, court dates, or public statements in the past 48 hours, traders imply a 68% probability of "No" additional video by Friday, reflecting Comey's pattern of weekly text essays (e.g., April 26 on motivation) rather than frequent videos. Ongoing case developments, including potential arraignment, could prompt future posts, but current calm favors restraint per skin-in-the-game consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
交易量
$3,379
结束日期
2026-05-01
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).Former FBI Director James Comey's April 28 Substack video post titled "Seashells"—responding to a fresh DOJ indictment over his 2025 Instagram seashell image interpreted as a presidential threat—explains the baseline for this market, marking his most recent video message. With no new legal filings, court dates, or public statements in the past 48 hours, traders imply a 68% probability of "No" additional video by Friday, reflecting Comey's pattern of weekly text essays (e.g., April 26 on motivation) rather than frequent videos. Ongoing case developments, including potential arraignment, could prompt future posts, but current calm favors restraint per skin-in-the-game consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
交易量
$3,397
结束日期
2026-05-01
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).

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常见问题

"Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"科米会在周五前再次在Substack上发布视频信息吗?",概率为 32%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 32¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 32%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 28, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?"的当前领先者是"科米会在周五前再次在Substack上发布视频信息吗?",概率为 32%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 32%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Comey在周五之前再次在substack上发布视频消息?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。