The market-implied odds heavily favor no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing or confirmed timeline despite the company's $134 billion private valuation from its late-2025 Series L round and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate. As a leading data and AI platform provider, Databricks has signaled IPO readiness through debt financing and CEO comments that a 2026 listing remains possible, yet analyst consensus points to confidential filing only in Q3 2026 followed by a potential Nasdaq debut later that year or in early 2027. This timeline aligns with standard enterprise software preparation cycles. A sudden acceleration via unexpected regulatory moves or market conditions could shift sentiment, though recent developments show no such catalysts on the near-term horizon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年6月30日前未上市 95.6%
1250–1500 亿 2.9%
1000–1250 亿 1.7%
2000–2500 亿 1.0%
$409,449 交易量
$409,449 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
2%
1250–1500 亿
3%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
1%
2500亿以上
1%
2026年6月30日前未上市
96%
2026年6月30日前未上市 95.6%
1250–1500 亿 2.9%
1000–1250 亿 1.7%
2000–2500 亿 1.0%
$409,449 交易量
$409,449 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
2%
1250–1500 亿
3%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
1%
2500亿以上
1%
2026年6月30日前未上市
96%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market-implied odds heavily favor no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing or confirmed timeline despite the company's $134 billion private valuation from its late-2025 Series L round and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate. As a leading data and AI platform provider, Databricks has signaled IPO readiness through debt financing and CEO comments that a 2026 listing remains possible, yet analyst consensus points to confidential filing only in Q3 2026 followed by a potential Nasdaq debut later that year or in early 2027. This timeline aligns with standard enterprise software preparation cycles. A sudden acceleration via unexpected regulatory moves or market conditions could shift sentiment, though recent developments show no such catalysts on the near-term horizon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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