Databricks' lack of any public or confidential S-1 filing with the SEC as of late May 2026, combined with its recent $4–5 billion private funding round at a $134 billion valuation, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds against an IPO by June 30. The company, led by CEO Ali Ghodsi, has emphasized strategic flexibility and positive free cash flow from its data platform and AI products without committing to a near-term listing. Typical enterprise software IPOs require six to twelve months from filing to public debut, making an accelerated timeline in the remaining weeks highly improbable absent extraordinary market or regulatory shifts. Traders appear to view the June cutoff as too proximate for Databricks to complete the necessary preparations while maintaining its preferred private trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年6月30日前未上市 96.1%
1250–1500 亿 1.3%
1000–1250 亿 1.1%
2000–2500 亿 1.0%
$412,394 交易量
$412,394 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
1%
1250–1500 亿
1%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
1%
2500亿以上
<1%
2026年6月30日前未上市
96%
2026年6月30日前未上市 96.1%
1250–1500 亿 1.3%
1000–1250 亿 1.1%
2000–2500 亿 1.0%
$412,394 交易量
$412,394 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
1%
1250–1500 亿
1%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
1%
2500亿以上
<1%
2026年6月30日前未上市
96%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' lack of any public or confidential S-1 filing with the SEC as of late May 2026, combined with its recent $4–5 billion private funding round at a $134 billion valuation, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds against an IPO by June 30. The company, led by CEO Ali Ghodsi, has emphasized strategic flexibility and positive free cash flow from its data platform and AI products without committing to a near-term listing. Typical enterprise software IPOs require six to twelve months from filing to public debut, making an accelerated timeline in the remaining weeks highly improbable absent extraordinary market or regulatory shifts. Traders appear to view the June cutoff as too proximate for Databricks to complete the necessary preparations while maintaining its preferred private trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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