France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's June 2024 snap legislative dissolution after EU election losses, persists with no majority, forcing reliance on minority governments and Article 49.3 decree powers. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, appointed in September 2025, narrowly survived no-confidence motions in January 2026 over the contentious 2026 budget—delayed but ultimately passed in February amid EU deficit scrutiny—securing short-term stability through cross-party support. March 2026 municipal runoffs showed National Rally far-right gains in smaller towns but left-wing holds in Paris and Marseille, previewing 2027 presidential dynamics without triggering immediate parliamentary crisis. Traders weigh Macron's constitutional dissolution authority against upcoming September 2026 Senate elections and baseline legislative polls by 2029, with low snap election declaration odds absent fresh no-confidence votes or fiscal collapse.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,057,892 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
5%
$1,057,892 交易量
2026年6月30日
$76,259 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's June 2024 snap legislative dissolution after EU election losses, persists with no majority, forcing reliance on minority governments and Article 49.3 decree powers. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, appointed in September 2025, narrowly survived no-confidence motions in January 2026 over the contentious 2026 budget—delayed but ultimately passed in February amid EU deficit scrutiny—securing short-term stability through cross-party support. March 2026 municipal runoffs showed National Rally far-right gains in smaller towns but left-wing holds in Paris and Marseille, previewing 2027 presidential dynamics without triggering immediate parliamentary crisis. Traders weigh Macron's constitutional dissolution authority against upcoming September 2026 Senate elections and baseline legislative polls by 2029, with low snap election declaration odds absent fresh no-confidence votes or fiscal collapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,057,892结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's June 2024 snap legislative dissolution after EU election losses, persists with no majority, forcing reliance on minority governments and Article 49.3 decree powers. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, appointed in September 2025, narrowly survived no-confidence motions in January 2026 over the contentious 2026 budget—delayed but ultimately passed in February amid EU deficit scrutiny—securing short-term stability through cross-party support. March 2026 municipal runoffs showed National Rally far-right gains in smaller towns but left-wing holds in Paris and Marseille, previewing 2027 presidential dynamics without triggering immediate parliamentary crisis. Traders weigh Macron's constitutional dissolution authority against upcoming September 2026 Senate elections and baseline legislative polls by 2029, with low snap election declaration odds absent fresh no-confidence votes or fiscal collapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,057,892结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's June 2024 snap legislative dissolution after EU election losses, persists with no majority, forcing reliance on minority governments and Article 49.3 decree powers. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, appointed in September 2025, narrowly survived no-confidence motions in January 2026 over the contentious 2026 budget—delayed but ultimately passed in February amid EU deficit scrutiny—securing short-term stability through cross-party support. March 2026 municipal runoffs showed National Rally far-right gains in smaller towns but left-wing holds in Paris and Marseille, previewing 2027 presidential dynamics without triggering immediate parliamentary crisis. Traders weigh Macron's constitutional dissolution authority against upcoming September 2026 Senate elections and baseline legislative polls by 2029, with low snap election declaration odds absent fresh no-confidence votes or fiscal collapse.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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