Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office project a maximum of 37°C in Chongqing on July 31 amid subtropical monsoon conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–38°C. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon convective showers, which could suppress peak temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, versus clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating. Chongqing's basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify baseline warmth, while recent model runs show minor disagreements on timing of any rainfall. Traders weigh these variables against typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日重庆气温最高？
7月31日重庆气温最高？
37°C 31%
38°C 30%
39°C 26%
40°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
33°C及以下
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
31%
38°C
30%
39°C
26%
40°C
10%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C或更高
2%
37°C 31%
38°C 30%
39°C 26%
40°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
33°C及以下
$13 交易量
<1%
34°C
$124 交易量
4%
35°C
$3 交易量
3%
36°C
$0 交易量
6%
37°C
$45 交易量
31%
38°C
$47 交易量
30%
39°C
$1 交易量
26%
40°C
$20 交易量
10%
41°C
$122 交易量
3%
42°C
$25 交易量
3%
43°C或更高
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office project a maximum of 37°C in Chongqing on July 31 amid subtropical monsoon conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–38°C. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon convective showers, which could suppress peak temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, versus clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating. Chongqing's basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify baseline warmth, while recent model runs show minor disagreements on timing of any rainfall. Traders weigh these variables against typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$416结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office project a maximum of 37°C in Chongqing on July 31 amid subtropical monsoon conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–38°C. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon convective showers, which could suppress peak temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, versus clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating. Chongqing's basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify baseline warmth, while recent model runs show minor disagreements on timing of any rainfall. Traders weigh these variables against typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$416结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office project a maximum of 37°C in Chongqing on July 31 amid subtropical monsoon conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–38°C. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon convective showers, which could suppress peak temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, versus clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating. Chongqing's basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify baseline warmth, while recent model runs show minor disagreements on timing of any rainfall. Traders weigh these variables against typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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